Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge / 2023 / ii / Paper 4 / 14C / Solution

This is a birth-death process with birth and death ratesIts transition diagram has the two arrowsThe gain into state $n$ comes from a death in state $n+1$ or a birth in state $n-1$, while the loss is the sum of both rates out of state $n$. The birth-death master equation is consequently

Multiplying by $n$, summing over the nonnegative integers, and shifting the summation indices shows that each birth contributes $+1$ and each death contributes $-1$. Thus the first-moment equation of a birth-death process givesAt a stationary state, use the variance identity $⟨n^2⟩=⟨n{⟩}^2+(\Delta n{)}^2$. Solving the resulting quadratic equation givesThe minus root is inadmissible whenever it is negative, namely when $(\Delta n{)}^2<\gamma /\alpha$. Equality would give zero mean, which is also incompatible with a positive immigration rate $\gamma$, so for $\gamma >0$ the minus branch requires $(\Delta n{)}^2>\gamma /\alpha$ even to be a possible mean.

For a continuum approximation, write $b(n)=\gamma +\beta n$ and $d(n)=\alpha n(n-1)$. Applying the Kramers-Moyal expansion to the two gain terms and retaining derivatives through second order gives the Fokker-Planck equationwhere the negative drift and infinitesimal jump variance areThis truncation requires the typical population and the scale on which $P$ varies to be much larger than the unit jump size, with the rates varying smoothly across that scale.

The positive zero of $g$ isso in particular $n_{\ast }\sim \beta /\alpha$ as $\alpha /\beta \to 0$. Put $x=n-n_{\ast }$. The linear noise approximation useswhereand, because $b(n_{\ast })=d(n_{\ast })$,In a stationary state with zero Fokker-Planck probability current,Its normalized solution is the normal distributionIt follows that

These estimates agree with the exact stationary first-moment relation on its plus branch to leading order: inserting $(\Delta n{)}^2\sim \beta /\alpha$ gives $⟨n⟩\sim \beta /\alpha$. Moreover,Thus the stationary mass lies far from the boundary $n=0$, is narrow relative to its mean, yet changes across many lattice sites. These are precisely the large-population and slow-variation conditions needed for the diffusion approximation.

Solved by gpt-5.6-sol high.