= Mathematical biology {wiki} = Per capita {parent=Mathematical biology} {wiki} A per-capita quantity is a total quantity divided by the number of individuals in the population. = Age-structured population model {parent=Mathematical biology} {wiki=McKendrick–von_Foerster_equation} An age-structured population model tracks a density $n(a,t)$ transported toward greater age, reduced by age-dependent mortality, and replenished at age zero by births. = Euler-Lotka equation {c} {parent=Age-structured population model} {wiki} For birth rate $b(a)$, death rate $d(a)$ and exponential population growth rate $r$, the Euler-Lotka equation is $$ 1=\int_0^\infty b(a)\exp\left(-ra-\int_0^ad(s)ds\right)da. $$ = Law of mass action {parent=Mathematical biology} {wiki} The law of mass action assigns an elementary reaction a rate constant times the product of its reactant concentrations, with each concentration raised to its stoichiometric multiplicity. = Enzyme kinetics {parent=Mathematical biology} {wiki} Enzyme kinetics models how free enzyme, substrate, enzyme-substrate complexes, and product concentrations evolve through a reaction mechanism. = Michaelis-Menten equation {c} {parent=Enzyme kinetics} {wiki=Michaelis%E2%80%93Menten_kinetics} The Michaelis-Menten rate law is $$ v=\frac{V_{\max}s}{K_M+s}. $$ It is linear at low substrate concentration and saturates at $V_{\max}$ at high concentration. = Quasi-steady-state approximation {parent=Enzyme kinetics} {wiki=Quasi-steady-state_assumption} When enzyme complexes relax much faster than substrate concentrations, the quasi-steady-state approximation sets the time derivatives of the fast complexes to zero and solves their algebraic balance equations. = Quasi-steady rate law for a two-substrate allosteric enzyme {parent=Quasi-steady-state approximation} For sequential binding with dimensionless parameters $\alpha,\beta,\gamma$, the reduced product rate has the form $$ \frac{dp}{dt} =A\frac{u^2}{\alpha+u+(\beta/\gamma)u^2}. $$ It is quadratic at low substrate concentration and saturates at high concentration. = Autocatalysis {parent=Mathematical biology} {wiki} Autocatalysis is a reaction mechanism in which a product promotes its own production. = Autocatalytic biochemical switch {parent=Autocatalysis} An autocatalytic biochemical switch uses bistability and a transient input to move a system from one stable concentration to another. A supplies a threshold above which the low-concentration equilibrium disappears. = Saturating autocatalytic switch {parent=Autocatalytic biochemical switch} For $$ \dot g=s+k\frac{g^2}{1+g^2}-g, \qquad k>2, $$ the zero-input stable states are $0$ and $(k+\sqrt{k^2-4})/2$. The switching threshold is the determined by $f(g_c,s_c)=\partial_gf(g_c,s_c)=0$ on the low-concentration branch. = Strong-autocatalysis switching threshold {parent=Saturating autocatalytic switch} For $k\gg1$, the low-concentration saddle node of the has $$ g_c\sim\frac1{2k}, \qquad s_c\sim\frac1{4k}. $$ = Cubic saturation population model {parent=Mathematical biology} The equation $$ \dot n=\alpha n-\beta n^3 =\alpha n\left(1-\frac{n^2}{K^2}\right), \qquad K=\sqrt{\alpha/\beta}, $$ has an unstable zero equilibrium and a stable positive equilibrium $K$. Its per-capita density correction is quadratic rather than the logistic model's linear correction. = Exponential density-dependent birth model {parent=Mathematical biology} If a population $N$ has per-capita birth rate $be^{-aN}$ and per-capita death rate $d$, then $$ \dot N=N\left(be^{-aN}-d\right). $$ When $b>d$, its positive [equilibrium] is $$ N^*=\frac1a\log\frac bd, $$ and the derivative of the scalar vector field there is $-adN^*<0$, so the equilibrium is locally [asymptotically stable]. = Survival-augmented Ricker map {parent=Mathematical biology} The population iteration $$ x_{n+1}=x_n\bigl(r+ke^{-\lambda x_n}\bigr), \qquad 0\leq r<1, $$ combines annual survival with density-dependent recruitment. Its positive equilibrium is $$ x_*=\frac1\lambda\log\frac{k}{1-r}, $$ which exists when $k>1-r$. = Stability interval of the survival-augmented Ricker equilibrium {parent=Survival-augmented Ricker map} At the positive equilibrium, $$ g'(x_*)=1-(1-r)\log\frac{k}{1-r}. $$ The fixed point is locally asymptotically stable exactly when $$ 1-r whose drift and diffusion coefficients are the first two infinitesimal jump moments. = Constant-birth pair-annihilation process {parent=Kramers-Moyal expansion} For jumps $n\to n+1$ at rate $\lambda$ and $n\to n-2$ at rate $\beta n^2$, the diffusion approximation has $$ A(n)=\lambda-2\beta n^2, \qquad B(n)=\lambda+4\beta n^2. $$ The stable deterministic population is $n_*=\sqrt{\lambda/(2\beta)}$. Its linear-noise stationary approximation is normal with mean $n_*$ and variance $3n_*/4$. = Kramers-Moyal master equation {parent=Kramers-Moyal expansion} For a jump process with rate $W(n,r)$ from state $n$ to $n+r$, probability balance gives $$ \partial_tP(n,t)=\sum_r \big[P(n-r,t)W(n-r,r)-P(n,t)W(n,r)\big]. $$ The first term is inflow from $n-r$ and the second is outflow from $n$. = Compartmental model {parent=Mathematical biology} {wiki=Compartmental_models_in_epidemiology} A compartmental model divides a conserved population into states and uses differential equations for transition rates. = Mass-action interaction {parent=Compartmental model} Under mass action, random pairwise encounters between populations of sizes $X$ and $Y$ occur at a rate proportional to $XY$. = Spatial SIR model {parent=Compartmental model} A spatial SIR-type model combines compartment transitions with diffusion in the compartments whose members move appreciably. = Mass-action infection {parent=Spatial SIR model} Mass-action transmission at unit nondimensional rate transfers population from susceptible to infected compartments at rate $SI$. = Diffusion of infectives {parent=Spatial SIR model} A Laplacian term in the infected-population equation models unbiased random migration of infective individuals. = Disease-free equilibrium {parent=Compartmental model} A disease-free equilibrium is an [equilibrium] of an epidemic model at which every infected compartment is zero. = Endemic equilibrium {parent=Compartmental model} An endemic equilibrium is an [equilibrium] at which infection persists, so at least one infected compartment is positive. = Susceptible-infective model with exponential density-dependent birth {parent=Compartmental model} The equations $$ \dot S=S\left(be^{-aS}-\beta I-d\right), \qquad \dot I=I\left(\beta S-d-\delta\right) $$ combine with an . Susceptibles reproduce at per-capita rate $be^{-aS}$, while infectives have no reproductive term and die at total per-capita rate $d+\delta$. = Disease-free equilibrium of the susceptible-infective model with exponential birth {parent=Susceptible-infective model with exponential density-dependent birth} For $b>d$, the disease-free equilibrium is $$ (S,I)=\left(\frac1a\log\frac bd,0\right). $$ It is linearly unstable precisely when $$ \frac1a\log\frac bd>\frac{d+\delta}{\beta}. $$ = Endemic equilibrium of the susceptible-infective model with exponential birth {parent=Susceptible-infective model with exponential density-dependent birth} When the disease-free equilibrium is unstable, the positive equilibrium satisfies $$ S^*=\frac{d+\delta}{\beta}, \qquad \beta I^*+d=be^{-aS^*}. $$ Its Jacobian has negative trace and positive determinant, so the equilibrium is locally asymptotically stable. = Basic reproduction number {title2=$\mathcal R_0$} {parent=Compartmental model} {wiki} The basic reproduction number $\mathcal R_0$ is the expected number of secondary infections caused by one infective in an otherwise susceptible population. = Epidemic invasion threshold {parent=Basic reproduction number} A rare infection grows initially when $\mathcal R_0>1$ and decays when $\mathcal R_0<1$. = SIR model with demography and permanent immunity {c} {parent=Compartmental model} With susceptible, infective, and immune populations $X,Y,Z$, equal per-capita birth and death rate $\mu$, mass-action transmission coefficient $\beta$, and recovery rate $\nu$, the equations are $$ X'=\mu N-\beta XY-\mu X, \qquad Y'=\beta XY-(\mu+\nu)Y, \qquad Z'=\nu Y-\mu Z. $$ The conserved population is $N=X+Y+Z$, and the threshold population is $N_c=(\mu+\nu)/\beta$. = Endemic equilibrium of the SIR model with demography {c} {parent=SIR model with demography and permanent immunity} When $N>N_c=(\mu+\nu)/\beta$, the positive equilibrium is $$ X^*=N_c, \qquad Y^*=\frac{\mu}{\mu+\nu}(N-N_c), \qquad Z^*=\frac{\nu}{\mu+\nu}(N-N_c). $$ On the invariant plane $X+Y+Z=N$, the $(X,Y)$ Jacobian at this equilibrium has negative trace $-(\mu+\beta Y^*)$ and positive determinant $\beta Y^*(\mu+\nu)$, so both eigenvalues have negative real part and the equilibrium is locally asymptotically stable. = SIR model with waning immunity {c} {parent=Compartmental model} {wiki=SIRS_model} For susceptible, infective, and recovered populations $S,I,R$, mass-action infection coefficient $\beta$, recovery rate $\nu$, and immunity-loss rate $f$, the SIRS equations are $$ S'=fR-\beta IS, \qquad I'=\beta IS-\nu I, \qquad R'=\nu I-fR. $$ They conserve $S+I+R=N$ and have basic reproduction number $\mathcal R_0=\beta N/\nu$. = Endemic equilibrium of the SIR model with waning immunity {c} {parent=SIR model with waning immunity} When $\beta N>\nu$ and $f>0$, the positive equilibrium is $$ S^*=\frac\nu\beta, \qquad I^*=\frac{f(\beta N-\nu)}{\beta(f+\nu)}, \qquad R^*=\frac{\nu(\beta N-\nu)}{\beta(f+\nu)}. $$ Writing $a=\beta I^*>0$, the reduced $(S,I)$ Jacobian has characteristic polynomial $$ \lambda^2+(f+a)\lambda+a(f+\nu). $$ Both roots have negative real part. Its discriminant is negative for sufficiently small $f$ and positive for sufficiently large $f$, giving respectively a stable focus and a stable node.